Vanderbilt Capital Advisors
SYNTHETIC SECURITY COMBINATION

 

Investors can create a synthetic security by using various combinations of interest only (IO)  strips and long U.S. Treasury principal strip issues.

 

Independently, IOs and Treasury strips are considered volatile securities.  When invested in a combined format their volatility characteristics are significantly reduced.  Creating a synthetic security to achieve a specific targeted duration can produce meaningful returns under most interest rate scenarios.  The synthetic combination does not have to influence the duration of the portfolio or interfere with a portfolio manager's point of view on the yield curve.  Analysis reveals that the performance advantage of the combination appears very favorable across a variety of scenarios. The combination significantly outperforms six-month LIBOR in unchanged, parallel shifts, and flattening yield curve environments.  The scenario results, very importantly, assume that the synthetic combination is being actively managed to maintain the appropriate weighted duration at all times.

 

The following is a description that explains IOs and Treasury principal strips and shows how creating and actively managing a synthetic security can produce  desirable risk/return results.

 

 

Description

IOs are U.S. Government or agency in quality and represent a form of a mortgage strip.  They are created by dividing the principal and interest from a pool of mortgages and then allocating the interest component to each IO strip.  IOs receive all of the interest payments from the underlying collateral and none of the principal.  The price movement of IO strips are quite sensitive to changes in interest rates.  Falling interest rates lead to faster repayments as more people buy or refinance homes.  Rising interest rates result in slower prepayments.  Faster prepayments reduce the principal balance of the underlying collateral leading to smaller interest payments.  Therefore, when interest rates fall and prepayments accelerate, IO strips decrease in value.  When rates rise and prepayments slow, IO strips increase in value. The owner of an IO earns valuable income and may use the negative duration of an IO as a hedge against rising interest rates.

 

U.S. Treasury principal strips do not earn income but provide a principal payment at maturity.  Treasury principal strips increase in value as interest rates decline and decrease in price when interest rates rise.  They are generally used in a portfolio as a hedge against a decline in rates.  In addition, they can offset the poor price performance of premium mortgage issues or callable corporates in a rally.

 


Trade Analysis

Table I details the securities used in the following analysis of the projected performance of a synthetic IO/Treasury principal strip security created by combining IOs off a FNMA 9% pass through with a May 15, 2009 Treasury principal strip.  The market weightings for the combination, which are used to weight both the return and the yields, are shown.  For comparison, a similar duration security, six-month LIBOR, is also detailed.

 

 

TABLE I

 

Synthetic Security Combination vs. Six-Month LIBOR

Portfolio Swap Analysis

 

 

 

 

 

Issue

 

 

 

Coupon

(%)

 

 

 

Maturity

 

 

 

Price

 

 

 

Yield

(%)

 

Option Adjusted Spread

(OAS)

 

 

S&P

Rating

 

 

EffectiveDuration

(Yrs.)

 

 

 

Convexity

 

Amount

 

 

Par

Amount

 

($MM)

 

 

Market

Value

 

 

Treasury Principal Strip

 

 

0.000

 

 

5/15/2009

 

 

34.069

 

 

6.910

 

 

62

 

 

GOV

 

 

16.09

 

 

2.62

 

 

1,600 

 

 

 545

 

I/O

 

9.000

 

2/1/2017

 

19.312

 

7.122

 

1163

 

AGN

 

-18.23

 

4.89

 

2,300

 

   455

 

Combination

 

5.308

 

20.4

 

25.367

 

7.006

 

562

 

GOV

 

0.53

 

3.64

 

3,900

 

1000

 

Six-Month LIBOR

 

3.500

 

1/15/1994

 

100.000

 

3.500

 

66

 

GOV

 

0.49

 

0.00

 

1,000

 

1,000

 

Difference

 

1.808

 

19.9 Yrs.

 

-74.633

 

3.506

 

496

 

None

 

0.04

 

3.64

 

2,900

 

   0

 

 

 

                  n   The Synthetic security combination has the same duration and quality as six-month LIBOR, but yields

      an additional 351 basis points with superior convexity.


 

The value of the synthetic combination becomes evident when you compare its yield-to-maturity versus six-month LIBOR rates.  The yield on the combination exceeds six-month LIBOR for all but extreme prepayment speeds.  Table II below summarizes the yield advantage of the combination.

 

 

 

TABLE II

 

Constant Prepayment Rate

(CPR) (%)

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

15

 

 

20

 

25

 

30

 

35

 

40

 

45

 

IO Yield

 

50.53%

 

43.98%

 

37.23%

 

30.25%

 

23.02%

 

15.51%

 

7.68%

 

-0.49%

 

Combo Yield

 

26.40%

 

23.43%

 

20.37%

 

17.21%

 

13.93%

 

10.53%

 

6.99%

 

3.28%

 

Six-Month LIBOR

 

3.50%

 

3.50%

 

3.50%

 

3.50%

 

3.50%

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