VANDERBILT CAPITAL ADVISORS
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN
RETIREMENT HEALTH CARE BENEFITS
Among the benefits that
employers have accorded employees the provision of health care, and
particularly the provision of health care after retirement has become an expensive
and open-ended commitment. This almost
uncontrollable aspect of health care benefits has been highlighted recently by
the proposal by the Financial Accounting Standards Board to require
corporations to recognize the liability they have incurred on their financial
statements.
This paper provides some
background on the retirement health care issue, it reviews the concerns that
have arisen, and it looks at some solutions that may be employed in the future
to control and fund this liability.
BACKGROUND ON THE PROVISION
OF HEALTH CARE BENEFITS
Corporations
began adding health care coverage to their employee benefit programs in
significant numbers beginning in the 1940's.
As a company paid benefit, this was viewed as another means of
attracting and retaining qualified employees.
The coverage generally included hospitalization, doctor's fees, and
medicine. Now approximately 70 percent
of large companies provide this type of benefit. A typical feature of this benefit is that
there is no employee contribution.
An
important concept for understanding the issue of health care coverage is that
it is a defined benefit in the most unrestricted form of the term. Unlike pensions that are a defined benefit in
the sense of a specific dollar amount, health care is defined in terms of a
real service. In other words, health
care, not an amount of money to be spent on health care, is the benefit
provided to the employee.
The
key implication of this form of defined benefit is that the provider of the
benefit has no control over its cost.
Inflation in the cost of this benefit, for example, is not
controlled. Besides making future costs
uncontrollable, this aspect makes future costs unpredictable. Recently, the rate of increase in medical
costs has been faster than overall inflation, which means that, if general
inflation also is a measure of the growth of corporate revenues, that medical
costs are becoming an increasingly larger part of corporate performance.
Besides
being an open-ended commitment to employees, there is another difference
between health care and other retirement benefits. There is no gradation related to service or
salary level. Once qualified, a
company's president and its janitor have the same benefit.
In
addition, many companies have included family-wide benefits in their
coverage. While obviously an attractive
benefit, this extends the liability to younger people, and lengthens the
exposure to future inflation in medical costs.
DEMOGRAPHIC EFFECTS ON
HEALTH CARE BENEFITS
When
health care began to be a popular employee benefit, the work force was
relatively young and the retired population was small relative to the working
group. The cost of health care,
therefore, was spread over the output of a large group of people.
As
the workforce has matured, this relationship has been changing and is expected
to change even further in the future.
While there used to be three workers for each retiree, there are now
only two. Moreover, people are living
longer. Thus the incidence of medical
costs for each retiree is rising.
Offsetting
the effect of the aging workforce somewhat, is the creation of Medicare, which
provides for some health care for those over the age of 65. But, with more early retirements, the period
from 55 to 65 is a particularly expensive one for corporations.
THE FINANCING OF HEALTH
CARE COSTS
There
is little dispute that health care for the aging is an appropriate endeavor for
a civilized society. The question lies
in which group or groups should bear the cost.
The individual can attempt to save for adequate health care in later
years. But, the uncertainty of future
costs and the randomness of health care needs make individual saving an
inefficient approach and require a form of insurance program.
Employer
paid coverage has the advantage to the employer and the employee of being tax
deductible. As the provision for
individuals to deduct medical expenses has been curtailed, the pretax benefit
of medical insurance that a corporation can deduct from its expenses is
attractive. Although corporations can
provide tax deductible coverage, the deduction only occurs when there are
actual cash outlays. Hence, there has
been no incentive for the corporation to prefund these expenses by creating a
reserve when it incurs liabilities.
To
the federal government, however, the deductibility of these expenses reduces
tax revenue at a time when the budget deficit is still wide. Government financing of medical costs has been
partly introduced with Medicare and Medicaid. More extensive programs are in the process of
being discussed.
PRESENT VALUE OF FUTURE
BENEFITS
The
present value of benefits to be paid to retirees in the future is a difficult
number to calculate. Included in this
figure must be estimates of the amount of health care to be provided in the
future, the cost of health care, the timing of those benefit payments, and the
discounting of the payments to the present.
Estimates of this discounted present value for all corporations range
widely, from $250 billion to $2 trillion, the latter figure coming close to the
value of total pension liabilities. To
put this in perspective, if the present value was thought of as a liability on
the books of the corporate sector, it would extinguish about half of the
corporate sector's net worth.
THE PROPOSED FASB RULE ON
HEALTH CARE LIABILITIES
Bringing
the issues of retirement health care to the front burner has been a proposal by
the Financial Accounting Standards Board to reflect the commitments made by
corporations to their employees on their financial statements. This stems from a concern by the Board about
the growing liability and the need to recognize it on the balance sheet as the
liability occurs. This would provide
some reflection on the balance sheet for the future financial cost of
retirement health care benefits.
The
proposal would become effective in 1992, after a period for comment and
review. It would require corporations to
begin showing an annual expense for the retirement health care liability
incurred each year. The expense would
also include amortization over 15 years of the initial liability outstanding
net of any assets held to meet this obligation.
The annual expense would affect the income statement for book purposes,
but would not affect the tax liability of the corporation.
The
proposal provides a uniform method for measuring the cost of future
benefits. As with pension liabilities,
it uses a discount rate drawn from the yield on a high-quality fixed-income
security.
Beginning
in 1997, the FASB proposal requires recognition of a minimum liability for
future health care on corporations' balance sheets. This will be matched with an intangible asset
representing the value to the company of providing this benefit.
CONTROLLING FUTURE COSTS
WITH PLAN CHANGES
While
outstanding liabilities and the policies of companies will require financial
solutions for the payment of future health care liabilities, which will be
discussed below, corporations can also begin thinking about ways to change
their benefit programs to get control of future expenses.
Corporations
are likely to review carefully their medical programs. First, they can divide their employees into
three groups: retirees, active employees, and future employees. Changes to medical programs for these three
groups can be progressively wider in scope.
While collective bargaining agreements, corporate policies, or other
factors may limit changes for current retirees and active employees, changes
for future employees, while grandfathering current employees, may well be
possible.
For
current employees, corporations may begin relating future benefits to length of
service, possibly by making contributions to the reserve fund based on service.
Other
changes that benefits managers can consider range from shifting to a defined
contribution approach, to employee cost sharing, and to the development of
"wellness" programs for improving employee health habits.
Employees
can be offered a cafeteria benefit program in which corporate funds for
benefits can be allocated to various programs depending on the preferences of
the employee, with retirement health care as one of the options. Simple changes in medical benefit programs
can also make modest improvements such as raising the deductible and requiring
a mandatory second opinion before surgery.
INVESTMENT RELATED ISSUES
FOR PREFUNDING
With
respect to investment approaches for meeting the funding requirements of
retirement health care, a number of key issues emerge. First of course is the difficulty of
estimating future health care needs. Not
only do they depend on the longevity of the workforce but also on advances in
medical care. In future years, medical
treatments that are unknown today may be considered normal and necessary.
A
second part of this estimation problem is a projection of cost increases for
medical treatment. The expansion of
private and public health care insurance has itself put upward pressure on
prices and this is likely to continue. The
inflation issue suggests that investments should have returns positively related
to the rate of growth in prices, and in particular, the growth in medical
care prices.
In
laying out a program for funding of expenses in the future, critical importance
must be paid to the power of compounding.
Because costs are expanding at a compound rate, the assets needed to pay
for them must also. Hence, as with
everything else dealing with the future, the earlier funding can begin the
easier costs can be met in the years ahead.
An
even more intractable problem is estimation of cash flow timing for benefits in
the future. Only very rough estimates
based on the age pattern of the employees can be made.
There
is also the question of whether there can be a funding integration with a
company's pension plan. With many
companies having an overfunded retirement plan, there is natural interest in
using some of these funds to pay for health care benefits. The new FASB statement will require a
separate and distinct pool of assets for health care benefits. Transfers from pension assets to health care
accounts may be possible. But,
opposition from retirees is likely since these funds are meant to support their
benefits and may be the basis for benefit improvements in the future.
INVESTMENT APPROACHES TO
FUNDING
There
are two prefunding options that a corporation may be able to pursue to set
aside assets for the provision of retirement health care. The first allows a tax deduction for a
limited contribution. The second offers
a promising means for corporations to use prefunding to meet their liability.
The
Internal Revenue Service, under section 401(h), will allow a tax-deductible
expense for a contribution providing for retirement health care, and these
funds can accumulate untaxed. The amount
of the contribution, however, can not exceed 25 percent of the corporation's
pension fund contribution. This is a
major limiting provision, because most pension funds are significantly
overfunded. Combined with a maximum that
assets can exceed liabilities, the amount of pension contribution is limited
and in most cases corporations are not currently making a contribution. With no pension contribution being made, no
health care contribution can be made.
While there may be some means of circumventing this restriction for some
companies, it is unlikely that this will turn into a major channel.
The
more interesting potential approach is the use of Voluntary Employee Benefit
Associations (VEBAs). These are trusts
that have been used for many different types of benefit programs. They have the advantage of having the contribution
be tax deductible. They exist under
section 501(c)9 of the tax code. While
there are restrictions on the amount of the tax-deductible contribution, the
limits, which relate to the amount of liability, are not anywhere near as
restrictive.
The
disadvantage of VEBAs is that income earned on the assets in the trust is taxed
at the corporate tax rate. This is a
critical problem because over the long period of time that a program like this
runs, the income and reinvestment of income are much larger components of the
overall value of the fund than the initial principal investment. Corporations may offset this by purchasing
tax-exempt instruments such as municipal bonds.
The resulting reduction in the earnings from these tax-advantaged
vehicles is a negative, however.
An
alternative that responds to this problem is an insurance contract held by the
trust. Increases in value of an
insurance contract are tax-deferred.
Making this a flexible approach is the ability to separate the insurance
contract, called a wrap-around, from the management of the investments. Thus, the plan sponsor can structure
investments that most efficiently provide for the type of liability that
retirement health care engenders.
SUMMARY
The
commitment corporations have made to provide health care in retirement for their
employees has resulted in a large and difficult to estimate future
liability. The FASB has proposed greater
accounting for this liability.
Corporations will begin moving on many fronts to attack this
problem. Changes in plan structure,
revisions in qualification requirements, prefunding, and development of
investment plans will be actively pursued.
Recent developments promise an exciting and ultimately beneficial period
of activity for those involved in retirement health care benefit planning.